Based on available wheat R&D investment data, the annual spending on wheat varietal R&D is estimated to be between $25 – $40 million, which translates to $550 – $880 million spent between 2000-2021. However, of the total wheat varieties that successfully received registration with the CFIA, 7% of varieties made no appearance in any of the Prairie grower directories, and thus provided no economic benefit to farmers, suggesting the research dollars spent on those varieties were not efficiently allocated. Differences in the number of developed, registered, and adopted varieties between the 2000-2010 and 2011-2021 time periods require further investigation, however. Between 2000-2010, 87 wheat varieties were recommended for registration, 78 received registration, and 76 were commercially available from seed growers, resulting in only 3% of registered varieties providing no economic value to farmers at the time of their commercialization. Comparatively, 207 wheat varieties were recommended for registration between 2011-2021, 162 were registered, and 146 were commercially available from seed growers by the end of 2023, resulting in 10% of research dollars spent developing varieties that do not provide direct economic benefit to farmers.
It is important to note that no commodity breeding system is likely to experience 100% adoption rates for all newly commercialized varieties. In addition, varieties that do not receive registration and commercialized varieties that are not adopted may still provide significant economic benefit in the future as parent varieties in future crosses to yield new, superior varieties. However, at the time of commercialization, the potential value of these unsuccessful varieties is unknown.